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Qatar employment, wages continue to rise strongly at end of 2024: PMI

Qatar employment, wages continue to rise strongly at end of 2024: PMI

Qatar employment, wages continue to rise strongly at end of 2024: PMI

Jan 08, 2025

Qatar - The latest Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) survey data from Qatar Financial Centre (QFC) compiled by S&P Global showed that Qatar’s non-energy private sector had a strong end to 2024.

The labour market remained a key driver of the overall improvement in business conditions, with the latest increases in employment and wages remaining among the highest on record. Demand for goods and services increased further, supporting growth in total activity and generating a rise in outstanding business.

The 12-month outlook for activity remained positive. Despite elevated wage pressures, overall cost inflation retreated further from October’s four-year high while firms discounted their prices only marginally.

The Qatar PMI indices are compiled from survey responses from a panel of around 450 private sector companies. The panel covers the manufacturing, construction, wholesale, retail, and services sectors, and reflects the structure of the non-energy economy according to official national accounts data.

The headline Qatar Financial Centre PMI is a composite single-figure indicator of non-energy private sector performance. It is derived from indicators for new orders, output, employment, suppliers’ delivery times and stocks of purchases.

The PMI was unchanged in December at 52.9, signalling solid overall growth in business conditions in the non-energy private sector economy. The headline figure trended at 52.9 during the final quarter of 2024, up from 52.0 in the third quarter and above the long-run survey average of 52.3 since April 2017.

Qatar’s non-energy private sector labour market remained very strong at the end of 2024. Throughout the last four months of the year, employment and wages have risen more quickly than at any other time in the survey history. Recruitment reflected efforts to raise output, improve services, win new business and address outstanding workloads.

Although wage pressures remained strong in December, overall input price inflation eased further from October’s four-year high. Charges for goods and services fell for the fifth month running as firms sought to support sales by discounting prices but at only a marginal rate.

While employment provided the strongest boost to the headline figure in December, the PMI also had positive contributions from output, new orders and stocks of purchases. The increase in new business was sufficient to generate a rise in backlogged work for the third time in the past four months. Meanwhile, the expansion in inventories of inputs was the third-fastest on record, as firms expect activity and new contracts to grow in 2025.

Qatari firms continued to hold an optimistic outlook for the next 12 months in December. Sentiment remained strong despite easing slightly since November. Anecdotal evidence provided by survey respondents linked positive forecasts to stable market conditions, construction and tourism demand, population growth, industrial development and investment in infrastructure.

The year-ahead outlook for Qatari financial services strengthened at the end of 2024, driving a further sharp increase in employment in the sector. The Financial Services Future Activity Index rose from 62.1 in November to 68.3 in December, well above the long-run series trend of 63.6.

Employment in the sector continued to rise at one of the sharpest rates on record, albeit the slowest in four months. Meanwhile, total activity and new business both expanded for the forty-second successive month.

Financial services companies cut their prices charged for the fifth month running, albeit at a rate that eased from November’s record. Average input prices rose at a stronger rate than in November.

QFC Authority CEO Yousuf Mohamed al-Jaida said: “The headline PMI was unchanged at 52.9 in December, remaining above the long-run trend level of 52.3 and indicating a solid improvement in business conditions in the non-energy sector.

“The outlook for 2025 is strongly positive and continues to support a booming labour market. The two PMI sub-indices covering employment and wages have remained at elevated levels throughout the last four months of the year, reflecting strong demand for workers and efforts by companies to retain and reward staff.”

He added: “New business growth generated a renewed rise in outstanding work during December, and companies continued to build inventories in expectation of sales growth in the coming months.”